CONTENTS
3
9
14Human development and flourishing 7
15
18Natural systems flourishing 8
19Global goals for global flourishing 8
21Models of change/Changing the world 10
23Our picture: Change we initiate 11
25Seven techniques for changing the world 12
27How is design science different from other planning processes? 14
2829Present day problem-solving 17
30Design Science is Proactive 20
31vii
3739The law of whole systems /synergy 28
4345The whole world is now the only relevant unit of problem solving 31
48Technology as a living system/
49Modeling technologies on living systems 35
50
56Building capacity, not just solving problems 41
57Focusing on design, not politics 42
58Designing for regeneration, not sustainability 43
59
61Designing for development, not growth 44
62Recognizing that needs are markets 45
63Looking for trim tabs / tipping points 46
64Reforming the environment, not the person 47
65
68Making visible the invisible 48
6971viii
75Mapping geographic data/location/distribution mapping 53
82Resources used/needed/available 62
83Who does what—organizations/actors 63
91Taking the design initiative 67
92Being guided by moral vision 68
94Group methods for developing solutions 70
95
97AI as a tool for defining the problem and developing solutions 70
98
101Recognizing the problem situation/
103104Moving from Problem to Problem Situation 78
105Determining the problem #2 79
106Moving from mess to vision 79
107ix
111Envisioning the Preferred State 82
112116Refining the Preferred State 85
119Defining the Problem State 88
120122Start with the larger system 89
123Dimensions of the problem 90
126Defining the Present State 93
127131Decision making criteria 97
135Designing the strategy for achieving the Preferred State 99
136137Solution and strategy development: What, how, who, where, when, cost, funding 99
139What makes a compelling design and plan? 101
140Identifying the resources required to implement our strategy 102
143Financial/legal resources 102
144Financial resources and whole system costs/benefits 103
145Initiating a larger planning process 104
147x
148Explaining our strategy 106
149Developing the Strategy for reaching the Preferred State with AI assistance 106
151
155156Developing the artifact 112
157Developing the tools or artifacts—further details 114
158Target date for realizing the Preferred State 115
159Actions needed to implement the strategy for achieving the Preferred State 115
160Test/Proof-of-concept phase 115
161Scale-up—The implementation timeline 116
163Documenting the process/Communicating the plan 118
164The communications plan 119
165Developing the Implementation Plan with AI assistance 121
170APPENDIX 1 Global Solutions Lab 129
171APPENDIX 2 Global statistical data sources and data analysis tools 133
172175Other international and regional organizations 140
177Economist Intelligence Unit (not free) 145
180APPENDIX 3 Solutions Libraries 149
181APPENDIX 4 Bibliography 151
182183xi
184xii
185FIGURES
186Figure 1 The global hierarchy of human development. 7
187Figure 2 United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals 8
188Figure 3 The Future Cone: how might the future develop? 9
189Figure 4. A global timeline from the big bang to the present day: 5 billion years. 33
190Figure 5. Trim tab on a plane. 46
191Figure 6. Extending the range of human vision. 49
192Figure 7. Parts of a wind turbine. 50
193Figure 8. Proposed design for electrifying health clinics in Africa 50
194Figure 9. World population from 5000 BC to 2000 AD 51
195Figure 10. World population from 1980 to 2000 51
196Figure 11. Global trends in armed conflict: 1946 - 2019 52
197Figure 12. The relationship between per capita GDP and per capita emissions of greenhouse gases.
198199Each dot represents a country. (World Bank data for 2020) 53
200Figure 13. Buckminster Fuller’s world map projection. Relative sizes and shapes of continents are moreaccurate in this projection than in other map projections. 54
201Figure 14. Growth in the number of metropolitan areas with populations over 5 million between 1900
202
204Figure 15. Cartogram of greenhouse gas emissions in 2020. Geographic areas are scaled in proportion to
205
207Figure 16. Traditional economic model of an economy 56
208Figure 17. Simplified version of the model used in Earth for All. 57
209Figure 18. Model of production, consumption and recycling typical of ecosystems 57
210Figure 19. World population trends and forecasts to 2100. 58
211Figure 20. Scenarios show sea level rise under a range of assumptions on greenhouse gas emissions.
212
214Figure 21. The structure of the United Nations Development Program. An example of a hierarchy 60
215Figure 22. Inputs and outputs of the production stage of the food system 61
216Figure 23. Process flow of wind energy from generation through to user 62
217218xiii
219Figure 24. Potential dashboard for the SDG related to energy 66
220Figure 25. Overview of the design science planning methodology 75
221Figure 26. The Design Science ‘‘Preferred State Problem Solving Planning Process’’ 76
222Figure 27. Step one of the design science planning process: deciding what problem to focus on. Whatwe think of as a ‘‘problem’’, like ‘‘hunger’’, is usually part of a larger set of interacting threats and
223224opportunities or what may be called the problem situation or ‘‘mess’’. 78
225Figure 28. The preferred state: key constraints and opportunities 83
226Figure 29. Like an iceberg, there is typically much more involved than consideration of the visible
227
229Figure 30. The Present State is the context of the Problem State.
230231And, the problem state is a part of the Present State. 94
232Figure 31. The design science process for artifact development 115
233Figure 32. A timeline shows the sequence of actions to go from the Problem State to the Preferred State 117
234Figure 33. Timeline for the wind energy component of a global energy strategy 119
235Figure 34. The final step in the design science methodology is implementation. 121
236 xiv